| Lieberman-Warner: The EPA Chimes In |
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| Written by Samantha Hulkower | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Monday, 14 April 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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You'll have to forgive us for being a little late to report on the 189 page EPA analysis of the controversial Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act. We've kind of been waiting for the issue to come up on the campaign trail. Silly us. Under Lieberman-Warner, the greatest reduction in emissions would come from electricity generation, while having almost no effect on transportation, the fastest growing sector in the country. According to the EPA analysis, gas would only increase by $0.53 by 2030, and $1.40 by 2050. We don't claim to be clairvoyants, but are willing to bet money that the U.S. sees $4.00 gas much sooner than 2030 ... like Labor Day weekend '08. We know what you're thinking; the reductions are going to come from exporting energy-intensive production to developing nations, like we've been doing with China. Well, you're wrong. For those of you reading along at home, page 5 of the report says, "No international emissions leakage occurs," meaning we're keeping our emissions to ourselves. Actually, the U.S. would end up exporting more GHG-intensive products, like cement and steel, while importing less energy-intensive goods, as developing nations themselves become more efficient and reduce their emissions. Electricity prices are expected to increase some, depending on how emissions credits are allocated and whether the utilities pass along increased costs or savings to the consumer. On the whole, GDP growth in 2030 is only expected to be 1 percent less than if no action is taken, which seems like a bargain to us. |
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Yeah, OK, we can be the change that we want to see in the world. But unless powerful people in powerful positions want to be that change as well, nothing's going to change.
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